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Hello morningside

I have just measured the radius on my 1949 Flying Squirrel from the rear wheel spindle centre to the outside of the rear mudguard and found it to be 14.75″. I have no reason to believe my rear mudguard is not correct. One would assume that 1948 and 1949 would be the same. My rear mudguard is also 5.25″ wide. Hope this helps.